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Trades & waiversWeek 9 so farIn progress
1 Trade and Counting
Wills sends Dameon Pierce, Jaleel McLaughlin, Kyle Monangai, and Ja'Marr Chase to Justin for Chase Brown, Davante Adams, Nico Collins, Rashee Rice, and T.J. Hockenson.
“Since the deal” counts points the incoming players scored in their new team’s starting lineup. “Rest of season” is the modeled chance that side gets more out of the deal from here.
Top waiver bids
$27Jacoby Brissett QBJustin
$6New York Giants DEFChris
$1Fernando Mendoza QBMikey
Top waiver bids: Justin — Jacoby Brissett ($27), Chris — New York Giants ($6), Mikey — Fernando Mendoza ($1).
The winner of Chris vs. Justin moves to 86% playoff odds; the loser falls to 60% (Chris) or 57% (Justin).
Game of the week: Chris (4–4) vs. Justin (4–4), sixth and fifth in the standings, at 72% and 73% playoff odds. Chris leads the series 12–9, but Justin won the last meeting, 90.14–82.82 in Week 14 of 2025. A win moves Chris to 86% and a loss drops Chris to 60%. Justin is at 86% with a win and 57% with a loss. Projected: Chris 120.5, Justin 120.2.
ProjectedChris121.8 projected points34% to winJustin136.1 projected points66% to win
Chris leads 12–9
With a win and with a loss show each team’s chance of making the playoffs after this week’s result.
Projected score is each team’s total; win chance is each side’s probability of winning the game, as of Nov. 9.
This week in league history
Week 9, 2021: Smokin Herb 167.08, Bubby on Bubby 85.14. Margin: 81.94. The 9th-largest regular-season margin in league history.
Russell (4–4) vs. Eli (3–5) carries nearly as much: Russell is at 48% with a win and 18% with a loss, Eli at 36% and 11%. Eli leads the series 7–6; Russell won the last meeting, 122.30–107.46 in the 2025 playoffs. Projected: Eli 131.2, Russell 115.5.
Nolan (5–3) vs. Wills (3–5): Nolan leads 9–7, and Wills won the last meeting, 135.98–110.88. Projected: Wills 127.3, Nolan 120.5. Ethan (6–2) vs. Mikey (5–3): Ethan leads 6–5 and won the last meeting by 0.92, 119.40–118.48. Mikey's 142.6 is the highest projection of the week. Carter (6–2) vs. Cloudy (0–8): Cloudy leads the series 4–1 and won the last meeting, 127.68–83.72.
This week in league history: in Week 9 of 2021, Cloudy's Smokin Herb scored 167.08 against Russell's Bubby on Bubby, who scored 85.14. The 81.94-point margin is the ninth-largest in regular-season league history.
ProjectedEthan132.7 projected points39% to winMikey142.3 projected points61% to win
Ethan leads 6–5
Power rankingsWeek 8 · Wednesday, Nov. 4
Ethan Holds No. 1, Eli Falls to No. 5
Ethan is 6–2 with the league's best all-play record, 54–18, and an 87% chance at a first-round bye.
Ethan stays No. 1 after beating Eli 163.28–110.74 for a fourth straight win. The 54–18 record against the full field is the league's best, the playoff odds are above 99%, and the bye odds are 87%. Mikey moves up one spot to No. 2 with 1146.26 points, second only to Ethan's 1153.68, and Carter moves up one to No. 3 at 6–2.
0–8, 11–61 against the field. Odds of finishing tenth: 99%.
0–8All-play 11–61
0% playoff odds
Order: 60% all-play record (every team against every score, every week), 25% all-play over the last three weeks, 15% actual record. Odds: 20,000 simulations of the remaining regular season from each team's scoring so far.
Justin climbs to No. 4 on the week's high score, 163.84, and Chris climbs two spots to No. 6 after a second straight win. Eli drops three spots to No. 5; the loss to Ethan ended a three-game winning streak, and the playoff odds sit at 26%.
Nolan is 5–3 and fourth in the standings, but drops two spots to No. 8 after the week's low score, 73.94, and a 33–39 all-play record. The playoff odds still read 78%, higher than Justin's or Chris's. Cloudy is 0–8 and 11–61 against the field, with 99% odds of finishing tenth.
Trades & waiversWeek 8 · Wednesday, Nov. 4
Four Trades, Cloudy in Three
Cloudy made three of the week's four trades, and Carnell Tate was traded twice in under 16 hours.
Cloudy sent Davante Adams and George Kittle to Justin for Rachaad White, Colston Loveland and the Cincinnati Bengals on Oct. 28. Rest of season: Justin 82%. White, Loveland and the Bengals scored 25.00 in Cloudy's Week 8 lineup; Adams and Kittle scored 0.00 for Justin.
“Since the deal” counts points the incoming players scored in their new team’s starting lineup. “Rest of season” is the modeled chance that side gets more out of the deal from here.
On the night of Oct. 29, Eli sent Jordan Mason and Carnell Tate to Cloudy for Justin Herbert and Travis Etienne Jr. Rest of season: Eli 74%. The next afternoon, Cloudy sent Kyler Murray, Ashton Jeanty, Carnell Tate and Garrett Wilson to Russell for Joe Burrow and Drake London. Rest of season: Cloudy 74%. Burrow and London scored 40.78 for Cloudy in Week 8, and Russell's four scored 40.00. Tate has now been traded five times this season.
On Nov. 2, Justin sent Malik Willis, Michael Wilson and $10 FAAB to Carter for Antonio Williams and Rashee Rice. Rest of season: Carter 80%.
The week had 48 moves. Justin was the busiest office with 7 adds, and the top waiver bid was Nolan's $43 for Gardner Minshew II. Justin has made 15 trades this season, the most in the league; Chris has 14 and Cloudy 12.
Justin Scores 163.84; Ethan Sets the Eight-Week Points Record
Ethan's 1153.68 points are the most through eight weeks in league history, and he leads at 6–2. Cloudy is 0–8.
Justin beat Russell 163.84–93.78 for the week's high score and its widest margin, 70.06; the score would have beaten all nine other teams. Russell started Matthew Stafford, who scored 8.28, while Cam Ward scored 26.26 on his bench. His best possible lineup, 124.86, would still have lost.
Final scores
Justin163.84
defeated Russell93.78
Chris129.50
defeated Wills95.10
Mikey129.98
defeated Cloudy92.18
Carter135.74
defeated Nolan73.94
Ethan163.28
defeated Eli110.74
Awards
Boss of the WeekJustin163.849–0 against the field
Bench BlunderNolan51.36 leftJacksonville Jaguars scored 20.00 on the bench
Ethan beat Eli 163.28–110.74 for his fourth straight win, with 27.20 from Tony Pollard. Eli's lineup was the best one available to him, with nothing left on the bench, and the series is tied 8–8. Carter beat Nolan 135.74–73.94 and stays second at 6–2. Nolan's 73.94 was the week's low; he left 51.36 points on his bench, including 20.00 from the Jacksonville Jaguars, and falls to fourth.
Mikey beat Cloudy 129.98–92.18 behind 32.50 from Tee Higgins and moves up to third at 5–3. Chris beat Wills 129.50–95.10 for his second straight win; at 34.40, it was the week's closest game.
Ethan has 1153.68 points through eight weeks, the most in league history, ahead of Mikey's 1153.10 in 2025. Cloudy is 0–8. Joe Burrow scored 39.48 for him and Michael Penix Jr. scored -1.90. One team started 0–8 from 2017 to 2025, and it did not make the playoffs.
A win lifts Russell from 45% to 65% playoff odds and Justin from 46% to 58%.
Game of the week: Russell (4–3) vs. Justin (3–4), fifth and sixth in the standings, at 45% and 46% playoff odds. Justin leads the series 12–4, but Russell won the last meeting, 181.96–89.12 in Week 7 of 2025. A win moves Russell to 65% and a loss drops Russell to 32%. Justin is at 58% with a win and 27% with a loss. Projected: Justin 125.3, Russell 119.9.
With a win and with a loss show each team’s chance of making the playoffs after this week’s result.
This week in league history
Week 8, 2025: Mikey's Destroyer of Worlds scored 181.34 against The Thinker. The 12th-highest regular-season score in league history.
Carter (5–2) vs. Nolan (5–2) puts two of the three 5–2 teams together. Carter leads the series 8–7; Nolan won the last meeting, 116.74–115.24 in 2025. Projected: Nolan 129.3, Carter 107.5.
Chris (3–4) vs. Wills (3–4): Wills leads 7–5 and won the last meeting, 97.96–92.00. Ethan (5–2) vs. Eli (3–4): Eli leads the series 8–7, and both teams enter on three-game winning streaks. Mikey (4–3) vs. Cloudy (0–7): the series is tied 5–5, and Mikey won the last meeting, 128.06–109.26 in the 2025 playoffs.
This week in league history: in Week 8 of 2025, Mikey's Destroyer of Worlds scored 181.34 against Justin's The Thinker, the 12th-highest regular-season score in league history.
Eli is 3–4 and ninth in the standings, and second here on three straight wins.
Ethan moves up one spot to No. 1 at 5–2, with three straight wins and a 46–17 record against the full field, the best in the league. Ethan's playoff odds are above 99% and the odds of a first-round bye are 76%. Mikey, No. 1 a week ago, drops two spots to third after a 98.82, the lowest score of Mikey's season, but still holds 1016.28 points, the most through seven weeks in league history.
Order: 60% all-play record (every team against every score, every week), 25% all-play over the last three weeks, 15% actual record. Odds: 20,000 simulations of the remaining regular season from each team's scoring so far.
Eli climbs three spots to No. 2 while sitting ninth in the standings at 3–4. A quarter of the order comes from the last three weeks, and Eli has won all three, with 154.98, 129.68 and 144.22. Eli's playoff odds are 35%. Wills, whose 145.34 led Week 7, moves up one spot to seventh.
Ethan, Carter and Nolan share the best record at 5–2; Carter is fourth and Nolan sixth on a 33–30 all-play record. Russell is 4–3 and ninth, with a 22–41 all-play record. Cloudy is 0–7, with 98% odds of finishing tenth.
Trades & waiversWeek 7 · Wednesday, Oct. 28
Two Trades, 17 Adds for Ethan
Eli and Mikey swapped two players apiece, and Carter bought Emanuel Wilson from Chris for $3 FAAB.
Eli sent Baker Mayfield and Malik Washington to Mikey for Jordan Mason and Carnell Tate on Oct. 21. Rest of season: Eli 66%. Jordan Mason and Carnell Tate scored 14.20 in Eli's Week 7 lineup; Mikey's lineup has 0.00 from Baker Mayfield and Malik Washington.
“Since the deal” counts points the incoming players scored in their new team’s starting lineup. “Rest of season” is the modeled chance that side gets more out of the deal from here.
Top waiver bids
$31Caleb Douglas WRRussell
$7New England Patriots DEFChris
$3Chig Okonkwo TEMikey
$1Hunter Henry TEChris
$1Pittsburgh Steelers DEFEthan
Carter sent $3 FAAB to Chris for Emanuel Wilson on Oct. 24. Rest of season: Carter 85%. Emanuel Wilson scored 18.00 for Carter in Week 7.
The week had 47 moves. Ethan was the busiest office with 17 adds, and the top waiver bid was Russell's $31 for Caleb Douglas. Chris has made 14 trades this season, the most in the league; Justin has 13.
Wills Scores 145.34; Ethan Leads Three Teams at 5–2
Mikey's 1016.28 points are the most through seven weeks in league history. Cloudy is 0–7.
Wills beat Russell 145.34–110.78 for the week's high score, which would have beaten all nine other teams. Eli scored 144.22 and beat Cloudy by 49.50, the week's widest margin, for his third straight win.
Final scores
Nolan140.16
defeated Justin111.44
Wills145.34
defeated Russell110.78
Chris116.06
defeated Mikey98.82
Ethan141.88
defeated Carter105.72
Eli144.22
defeated Cloudy94.72
Awards
Boss of the WeekWills145.349–0 against the field
Bench BlunderEthan37.16 leftJameson Williams scored 23.60 on the bench
Lineup LossJustin142.54Best possible lineup would have won
Ethan beat Carter 141.88–105.72 and moves into first, one of three teams at 5–2 with Carter and Nolan; Ethan leads on points. Tony Pollard scored 35.00 for him, and he left 37.16 points on his bench, including 23.60 from Jameson Williams.
Nolan beat Justin 140.16–111.44. Justin's best possible lineup, 142.54, would have won; Luther Burden III scored 21.70 on his bench. Chris beat Mikey 116.06–98.82 in the week's closest game, ending a run of five weeks below the weekly median.
Mikey has 1016.28 points through seven weeks, the most in league history; the previous best was Russell's 1007.78 in 2025. He is 4–3 and fourth. Cloudy is 0–7. Two teams started 0–7 from 2017 to 2025, and neither made the playoffs.
A Russell win lifts his playoff odds to 79%. A loss leaves Wills at 14%.
Game of the week: Russell (4–2) vs. Wills (2–4), one week after Wills sent Kyren Williams and Drake London to Russell for Quinshon Judkins and Ja'Marr Chase. Russell leads the series 8–5, but Wills won the last meeting, 151.16–124.54 in the 2025 playoffs. A win moves Russell to 79% playoff odds and a loss drops him to 53%. Wills is at 37% with a win and 14% with a loss.
With a win and with a loss show each team’s chance of making the playoffs after this week’s result.
This week in league history
Week 7, 2020: Wills's Comeback Season scored 206.04 against Obi-Wan Mahomie. The 2nd-highest regular-season score in league history.
Justin (3–3) vs. Nolan (4–2): Justin leads the series 12–6 and has won two straight; Nolan has lost two straight. Chris (2–4) vs. Mikey (4–2): the series is tied 5–5.
Carter (5–1) vs. Ethan (4–2): Ethan leads 8–6 and won the last meeting, 95.70–74.92 in the 2025 playoffs. Cloudy (0–6) vs. Eli (2–4): Cloudy leads 5–2, including a 114.40–97.90 playoff win in 2025.
This week in league history: in Week 7 of 2020, Wills's Comeback Season scored 206.04 against Justin's Obi-Wan Mahomie, the second-highest regular-season score in league history.